Texas Rangers (31-35) vs. LA Dodgers (42-26)
June 13, 2024 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: LA Dodgers -250 / Texas Rangers +205; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Rangers and LA Dodgers meet Thursday in MLB game 3 action at Dodger Staidum. Here’s a LA Dodgers vs Texas Rangers Prediction.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 32-35 on the year and play the Mariners and Mets next. The Texas Rangers have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Texas Rangers have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcus Semien leads the Texas Rangers with 69 hits and 37 RBI, while Corey Seager and Josh Smith have combined for 117 hits and 54 RBI.
LA Dodgers Betting Preview
The LA Dodgers are 42-27 on the year and play the Royals and Rockies next. The LA Dodgers have scored 21 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The LA Dodgers have won 7 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Mookie Betts leads the LA Dodgers with 83 hits and 40 RBI, while Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman have combined for 157 hits and 85 RBI.
Texas Rangers vs LA Dodgers Pitching Matchup
Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Texas Rangers, and he is 3-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen has allowed 12 hits and 2 runs in his last 10.2 innings. Lorenzen has a 2.80 ERA and .216 allowed batting average in 35.1 road innings. Lorenzen is 0-0 with a 5.91 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the LA Dodgers.
Michael Grove gets the ball for the LA Dodgers, and he is 4-2 with a 4.72 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Grove has allowed 3 hits and 1 run in his last 6 innings. Grove has a 5.60 ERA and .234 allowed batting average in 17.2 home innings. This will be Grove’s second career game against the Texas Rangers.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won each of their last three games as road underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three Thursday night games as underdogs.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Jason Heyward has recorded at least one Double in three of the Dodgers’ last four games against AL West opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight home games against AL West opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Shohei Ohtani has recorded two or more total bases in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Rangers.
- Mookie Betts ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.410) this season.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Corey Seager has hit at least one home run in five of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Corey Seager has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Rangers as road underdogs.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a Single in each of his six previous appearances against the Dodgers after playing the previous day.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (131).
- The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).
- The Texas Rangers rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (86).
- The Texas Rangers rank 27th in the league for steals this season (31).
LA Dodgers vs Texas Rangers Prediction
We know the LA Dodgers are always going to be favored at home, but this line is insane. Michael Grove hasn’t been great in the relief role, and I’ve never been a fan of openers due to the amount of arms needed to get you over the finish line. Michael Lorenzen hasn’t been that bad this season, and he’s more than held his own on the road. Again, this line is nuts. Based on the value, I have to take a shot with the Rangers and the big plus money on the road.
