Toronto Blue Jays (18-20) vs. Seattle Mariners (22-15)
May 10, 2025 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -125 / Toronto Blue Jays 105; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 10, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays (18-20, 7-12 Away) bounced back from a four-game losing skid with wins against the Angels and Mariners. Toronto avoided being swept in Anaheim with that Game 3 win, while the Jays opened the current series in Seattle with a 6-3 victory. Addison Barger and Nathan Lukes led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Kevin Gausman got the win after allowing three runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and no walks over 5.1 innings of work.
This year, the Blue Jays average 3.71 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .246/.316/.362 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Blue Jays’ staff has a 4.35 ERA (23rd) and 1.26 WHIP (14th). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with a .294 batting average, four home runs, and 18 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays is Bowden Francis, who is 2-5 in seven starts this season, with a 5.66 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 35.0 innings.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners (22-15, 12-7 Home) haven’t lost the series in a month and beat the likes of the Astros, Rangers, Reds, Red Sox, and Athletics in the process. The Mariners did fall to a 6-3 defeat in Game 1 of the home series against the Blue Jays. Luis Castillo took the loss after allowing five runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Mariners average 5.08 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .246/.338/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.81 ERA (13th) and 1.31 WHIP (20th). Jorge Polanco leads the Mariners with a .340 batting average, nine home runs, and 28 RBI this season.
Logan Evans will take the mound for the Mariners on Saturday. The 23-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in two starts this year with a 7.20 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 10.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last six games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last six games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Mariners rank T5th in the league for home runs this season (51).
- The Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Blue Jays rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (282).
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction
The Blue Jays won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. We saw nine combined runs in Game 1, and I am hoping for more of the same on Saturday. Bowden Francis is not pitching well lately; he allowed 14 runs in his last three starts, while rookie Evans was welcomed to the MLB with eight allowed runs in his first two starts. That being said, I expect both pitchers to struggle early on and surrender multiple runs. Eight of Toronto’s last ten games went Over, which was also the case in Seattle’s last ten games. Go with the Over.
