Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction 5/11/25 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Jose Urena for the start here, and Urena is 0-0 with an 8.59 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Urena’s first career start against Seattle. Bryce Miller will get the nod for the Mariners here and is 2-3 with a 4.15 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. This will be Miller’s second career start against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to build on their 6-3 win over the Seattle Mariners from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 19-20 on the year. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Blue Jays Pick Up Third Straight Win

George Springer has 33 hits and Bo Bichette has 48 hits, with Springer adding 4 home runs, a triple, 8 doubles, and 15 RBIs while Bichette has 12 doubles and 18 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 25 hits with 5 doubles and 3 home runs and 10 RBIs this season, along with 9 stolen bases, while Anthony Santander has a team-high 36 strikeouts so far this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 4 homers, 7 doubles, and 18 RBIs, while Springer also has a .288 batting average up to this point in the year.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Blue Jays have won four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Mariners have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games at T-Mobile Park.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Sunday home games against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs against AL opponents.
• George Springer has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mariners.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
• Myles Straw has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bo Bichette ranks T7th in the league in Hits (48) this season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners will be looking to bounce back and salvage something from this series after their loss at the hands of the Blue Jays on Saturday, to fall to 22-16 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will welcome the New York Yankees to town.

Mariners Looking To Avoid Sweep

Jorge Polanco has 33 hits, including 9 home runs and 28 RBIs, while Cal Raleigh has 34 hits with 7 doubles, a team-high 12 home runs, and 25 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 30 hits with 9 doubles, 5 home runs, 20 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 36 hits with a pair of triples, 6 home runs, 17 RBIs, and 5 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 6 homers and 7 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last six day games at T-Mobile Park following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against the Mariners following a win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Blue Jays following a loss.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Rowdy Tellez has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five games against the Blue Jays.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against the Blue Jays.
• J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
• Julio Rodriguez has scored at least one run in each of the Mariners’ last six home games against AL opponents.
• Bryce Miller has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Cal Raleigh ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mariners’ last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Mariners in this one. I get the case to be made for the Blue Jays here as Toronto has been the better team in this series by a decent margin. However, in no alternate universe do I think that Jose Urena is a viable option in a starting rotation at the major league level. Miller has had his own issues in fairness, but I think the Mariners can get to Urena early and often, and the Mariners’ bullpen can hold it down to get the job done and avoid the sweep. Give me Seattle here.