Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/28/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, August 28^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 65-70 record this season and sit in fifth place in the AL East. They have a 34-35 home record and are coming off a 2-13 home loss against the Royals. They will face the Guardians and the Royals next.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a .245 batting average this season, .306 OBP, and .379 slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the Blue Jays’ best hitter with a .281 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 74, adding a team-high 26 home runs.

Dylan Cease (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, has an 8-5 record, 2.37 ERA, and 1.06 WHIP.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 64-70 record this season and sit in third place in the AL West. They have a 27-39 road record and are coming off a 0-6 road loss against the Phillies. They will face the Red Sox and the Athletics next.

The Seattle Mariners have a .228 batting average this season, .309 OBP, and .375 slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the Mariners’ best hitter with a .272 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 58, adding a team-high 20 home runs.

Emerson Hancock (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, has a 7-7 record, 3.37 ERA, and 1.12 WHIP.

Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: August 28, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease      Record this season: 8-5      ERA: 2.37
• Home Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Mariners: 1-0

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have won 13 of their last 14 games following a loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a loss.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Emerson Hancock      Record this season: 7-7      ERA: 3.37
• Road Record: 4-3
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-1

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last four home games against AL West opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against AL West opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Mariners’ last seven night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Blue Jays’ last 12 night games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last nine games as underdogs.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games against AL West opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded nine or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against AL West opponents.
• George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
• Dylan Cease ranks 2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (209) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against the Blue Jays after not playing the previous day.
• Emerson Hancock has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Mariners as road underdogs against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (506).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (526).
• The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (158).

Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the Jays have won their last two meetings in Toronto.

In this Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -155 home favorites. I like the Jays at home in this one, as they look to get back on track after a lost series by the Royals. They will put their ace on the mound in Dylan Cease, who has been elite this season and in excellent form, having given up two runs or less in five of his last six starts and has already faced the Mariners this season, shutting them out. On top of that, the Mariners’ bullpen has been in bad form, so I like the Jays to win this one at home.