Mariners vs Marlins Prediction 4/26/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and the Seattle Mariners meet Friday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mariners vs Marlins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Connor Gillispie for the start here, and Gillispie is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Gillispie’s first career start against the Mariners. The Seattle Mariners will start Luis Castillo in this one, and he is 2-2 with a 4.44 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Miami, Castillo is 4-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 40 strikeouts.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their series-opening 8-4 win over the Mariners on Friday to improve to 12-13 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Marlins Win 4 Of Last 5

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 28 hits, including 3 doubles and a team-high 6 stolen bases, while Graham Pauley has 5 doubles. Otto Lopez has 20 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 10 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 23 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs, and 15 RBIs, but also leads the Marlins with 30 strikeouts so far this season. Griffin Conine’s also chipped in 18 hits with a team-high 7 doubles as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• • The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.
• Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in five of his last six appearances with the Marlins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Matt Mervis ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (7) this season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners will be out to rebound from the loss to Miami to start the series, falling to 14-12 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will welcome the Los Angeles Angels to town for a division series.

Mariners Lose Another Series Opener

Jorge Polanco has 17 hits, including 3 home runs and 12 RBIs, while Cal Raleigh has 16 hits with 3 doubles, a team-high 8 home runs, and 11 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 14 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs, a team-high 14 RBIs, and 6 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 14 hits with a pair of triples, 3 home runs, 8 RBIs, and 5 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 4 homers and 4 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last six home games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have lost six of their last seven road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 night games following a road win.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of the Mariners’ last four home games.
• Luis Castillo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Marlins.
• Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight Saturday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Randy Arozarena has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Donovan Solano has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Marlins.
• Victor Robles has recorded a hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Marlins.
• Cal Raleigh ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Mariners’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction

I’m going to take a shot on the Marlins in this one. Luis Castillo is still viewed as the ace or one of the better arms in this Seattle rotation. However, the Marlins have better bats and have been more competitive than I would’ve given them credit for coming into the year, and I’m still not fully sold on this Mariner offense being legit all of a sudden. Give me the Marlins and the plus money here.