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Mariners vs Marlins Prediction 4/27/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (12-14) vs. Seattle Mariners (15-12)
April 27, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -155 / Miami Marlins +130; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Seattle Mariners meet Sunday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mariners vs Marlins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Max Meyer for the start here, and Meyer is 2-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 41 strikeouts this season. This will be Meyer’s first career start against the Mariners. The Seattle Mariners will trot out Bryce Miller for the start here, and Miller is 1-3 with a 4.21 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. In his career, Miller is 1-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 9 strikeouts against Miami.


Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins will be out to rebound after taking one on the chin in a 14-0 loss at the hands of the Mariners last time out to fall to 12-14 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Marlins Looking To Rebound After Blowout

Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 30 hits, including 3 doubles and a team-high 6 stolen bases, while Graham Pauley has 5 doubles. Otto Lopez has 20 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 10 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 26 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs, and 15 RBIs, but also leads the Marlins with 30 strikeouts so far this season. Griffin Conine’s also chipped in 18 hits with a team-high 7 doubles as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday games as underdogs.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last six Sunday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six Sunday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Meyer ranks T10th in the league for total Strikeouts (41) this season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their beatdown win over the Marlins on Saturday to improve to 15-12 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will welcome the Los Angeles Angels to town for a series.

Mariners Looking For Another Series Win

Jorge Polanco has 23 hits, including 7 home runs and 18 RBIs, while Cal Raleigh has 24 hits with 6 doubles, a team-high 9 home runs, and 16 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 19 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs, 17 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 21 hits with a pair of triples, 4 home runs, 11 RBIs, and 5 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 6 homers and 5 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mariners have won each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six day games following a win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against AL West opponents following a road loss.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in four of the Mariners’ last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jorge Polanco has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last three games against NL East opponents.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Mariners’ last eight day games.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances.
  • Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
  • Dylan Moore has scored a run in each of his last five appearances.
  • Cal Raleigh ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (9) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Mariners’ last nine day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Marlins’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Mariners vs Marlins Prediction

I’m backing the Marlins here. I get the reasoning for the Mariners being favored at home here, but you could make a strong argument that Meyer has been Miami’s ace to this point in the year, and I don’t think it’s really been close. I still have my concerns about the Mariners’ offense with consistency, and while 14 runs in a game is nice, I think Meyer is going to provide a much stiffer test. I think the Marlins win the series here at a great price. Give me Miami.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +130

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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