Mariners vs Pirates Prediction 6/24/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 24^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 39-40 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 20-20 home record and are coming off a 2-3 home defeat against the Mariners. They will face the Reds and the Phillies next.

The Pirates have a .255 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .408 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .296 batting average. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in RBI with 51, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 18 home runs.

Braxton Ashcraft (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 6-3 record, 3.18 ERA and 1.10 WHIP.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 41-39 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 19-20 road record and are coming off a 3-2 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Guardians and the Angels next.

The Mariners have a .232 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average. Julio Rodriguez leads the team in RBI with 37, while Luke Raley adds a team-high 14 home runs.

Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 6-5 record, 3.94 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 24, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft      Record this season: 5-2      ERA: 3.42
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Mariners: 0-0

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Mariners have lost each of their last nine Wednesday night road games.
• The Pirates have won seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryan Woo      Record this season: 6-4      ERA: 4.56
• Road Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Pirates: 1-0

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have lost eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Pirates’ last four games at PNC Park.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mariners’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Pirates’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Pirates’ last eight games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mariners’ last eight night games against National League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Pirates as home favorites against AL opponents.
• Braxton Ashcraft has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
• Braxton Ashcraft has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 13 games.
• Bryan Reynolds ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.408) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last three games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Bryan Woo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
• Cole Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
• Randy Arozarena ranks 5th in the league in Steals (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (561).
• The Pirates rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.257).
• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Mariners rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (168).

Mariners vs Pirates Prediction

The Mariners have won their last 6 meetings against the Pirates, having won their last two visits in Pittsburgh.

In this Mariners vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -120 home favorites. I like the Pirates in this one, as Braxton Ashcraft looks like a better option on the mound than Bryan Woo. Woo is coming off a shutout start but had given up 12 runs in his last two starts and has been bad on the road with a 1-5 record and 5.93 ERA. Ashcraft on the other hand, has given up two runs or less in five of his last six starts and the Pirates rank 6^th against right-handed pitching in the last 10 days, while the Mariners are dead last. Take the Pirates.