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Mariners vs Rays Prediction 8/10/25 MLB Picks Today

Tampa Bay Rays (57-61) vs. Seattle Mariners (65-53)
August 10, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -194 / Tampa Bay Rays 158; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 10, at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays (57-61, 25-31 Away) ended a four-series losing run with a victory against the Los Angeles Angels, but returned to losing ways in a series against the Mariners. Following a narrow 3-2 loss, the Rays lost Game 2 on Saturday, 7-4. Junior Caminero led the offense with three RBI, while Joe Boyle took the loss after allowing six runs on four hits with five strikeouts and five walks in 3.1 innings.

This season, the Rays average 4.50 runs per game (11th in the MLB) on a .252/.315/.399 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 3.86 ERA (14th) and 1.21 WHIP (4th). Junior Caminero leads the Rays with a .258 batting average, 32 home runs, and 80 RBI this season.

Adrian Houser will take the mound for the Rays on Sunday. The 32-year-old right-hander has a 6-3 record in 12 starts this year with a 2.54 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 74.1 innings.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (65-53, 36-25 Home) beat the Texas Rangers and swept the Chicago White Sox, and are now on a six-game winning run after defeating the Rays in the opening two games of the current series. In last night’s 7-4 victory, Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh led the offense with three RBI apiece, while Logan Evans got the win after allowing three runs on three hits with four strikeouts and three walks in 5.1 innings.

This year, the Mariners average 4.58 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .243/.319/.410 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.83 ERA (12th) and 1.24 WHIP (11th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .248 batting average, 44 home runs, and 96 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mariners is Bryan Woo, who is 9-6 in 22 starts this season, with a 3.02 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 140.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Mariners’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six day games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rays’ last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for home runs this season (169).
  • The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (124).
  • The Rays are one of only six teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
  • The Rays rank 6th in the league for walks allowed this season (338).

Mariners vs Rays Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past few years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. The Mariners won five of the last six and each of the previous three, but even though I am leaning toward Seattle in this one, I am opting for Over instead. Adrian Houser didn’t have the best of debuts for the Rays, as he allowed five runs against the White Sox, while he allowed three runs in two starts before that. I am backing the M’s to score 3+ against him here. Bryan Woo, on the other hand, surrendered multiple runs in three of his previous four starts. I am backing both offenses to combine for at least five runs in the opening five innings. Go with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 7.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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