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Mariners vs Yankees Prediction 8/12/26 MLB Picks Today

Seattle Mariners (56-64) vs. NY Yankees (67-52)
August 12, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -124 / Seattle Mariners 116; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Mariners vs Yankees Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, August 12th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 67-52 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place in the AL East. They have a 30-26 home record and are coming off a 4-1 home win against the Mariners. They will face the Blue Jays and the Orioles next.

The New York Yankees have a .230 batting average this season, a .310 OBP, and a .410 slugging percentage. The Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Cody Bellinger leads the Yankees with a .259 batting average, while Ben Rice leads the team with 32 home runs and a team-high 75 RBI.

Will Warren (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has an 8-6 record, a 4.18 ERA, and a 1.37 WHIP.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 56-64 record this season and are sitting in 3rd place in the AL West. They have a 23-35 away record and are coming off a 1-4 away loss against the Yankees. They will face the Astros and the Brewers next.

The Seattle Mariners have a .228 batting average this season, a .307 OBP, and a .374 slugging percentage. The Mariners’ pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Randy Arozarena leads the Mariners with a .276 batting average, Julio Rodriguez leads the team with 18 home runs, and Cole Young leads the team with a team-high 52 RBI.

Bryce Miller (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 4-6 record, a 3.08 ERA, and a 0.95 WHIP.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: August 12, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren      Record this season: 8-6      ERA: 4.18
  • Home Record: 4-3
  • Last 5 against Mariners: 1-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Mariners have lost each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have won each of their last six home games against the Mariners.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against the Mariners.
  • The Mariners have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight road games.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Miller      Record this season: 4-6      ERA: 3.08
  • Road Record: 3-3
  • Last 5 against Yankees: 0-2

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites following a win.
  • The Mariners have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Mariners’ last 10 games.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Mariners’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last six games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Mariners’ last 11 games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 15 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Mariners.
  • Jose Caballero has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
  • Luis Garcia ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.555) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Randy Arozarena has hit a home run in four of the Mariners’ last five road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bryce Miller has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Mariners as underdogs.
  • Josh Naylor ranks T10th in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.28).
  • The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (167).
  • The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (463).
  • The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (142).

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Mariners and have won their last four meetings in New York.

In this Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -125 home favorites. I like the Yankees in this one, as they are facing a struggling Mariners team that has five consecutive losses and a non-existent offense that has scored just 5 runs in their last five games. Bryce Miller has been weaker on the road with a 4.02 ERA, while Warren has been better at home and the Yankees have a better bullpen. Take the Yankees at home in this one.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: New York Yankees ML

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