Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/22/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 22nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 60-67 this year after they lost two out of three against St. Louis by scores of 3-8, 4-7, and 6-2. In their game three win, Miami had their lead cut to 4-2 in the sixth inning, but scored the last two runs to pull away for the victory. The Marlins recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hernandez, who went 3-4 with two RBIs in the win. Miami started Alcantara, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Henriquez picked up a hold. 

Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Guardians. Miami has lost nine of their last twelve games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 549 runs with a .251 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 18 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Cal Quantrill, who is 4-10 with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 109.2 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 74-54 this season after they lost two out of three against Pittsburgh by scores of 2-5, 7-3, and 1-2. In their game three loss, Toronto took a 1-0 lead in the first inning, but failed to score over the last eight innings in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded just three hits in the game and they were led by Springer, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Toronto started Bassitt, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Fisher, Little, and Dominguez combined for 2.1 scoreless innings. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Cubs. Toronto has lost three of their last four games, but they are still first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 625 runs with a .267 batting average and a .337 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, while George Springer has added 21 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Shane Bieber, who is making his first start of the season. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Blue Jays

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents.
• The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
• The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday games as road favorites.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Blue Jays.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Marlins

• The road team has won seven of the last eight games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last five night games at LoanDepot Park following a home win.
• The road team has covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games following a win.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home night games.
• The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 Friday games.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Xavier Edwards ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.302) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Santander has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• George Springer has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three games as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
• The Marlins rank T5th in the league for triples this season (23).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1168).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.267).

Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing their last series, but Toronto has had the much better season and is leading the AL East. The Blue Jays are 32-33 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 29-33 at home. Miami has allowed at least seven runs in three of their last five games and they are starting Quantrill, who has allowed 7, 1, and 7 earned runs in his last three outings. The Jays are going with Bieber, who hasn’t pitched since April of 2024. I won’t trust Bieber until I see the results, but I also can’t trust Quantrill. Take the over here.