Marlins vs Braves Prediction 5/19/26 MLB Picks Today
Atlanta Braves (32-16) vs. Miami Marlins (22-26)
May 19, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 119 / Atlanta Braves -143; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 19th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 22-26 this season after they won game one by a score of 12-0 last night. Miami scored 12 runs through the first five innings and they cruised to the easy win. The Marlins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Mack, who went 1-3 with four RBIs. Meyer allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Bachar closed out the game. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Twins.
This season, Miami has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 213 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 42 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 0-1 with a 33.75 ERA and a 6.75 WHIP over 1.1 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 32-16 this year after they lost game one by a score of 12-0 on Monday. Atlanta never got their offense going and they were shutout in the loss. The Braves recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Baldwin, who went 1-2 with one walk. Ritchie allowed six hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Bummer allowed six earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Red Sox and two out of three against the Cubs.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.14 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .208 opponent batting average, while they have scored 250 runs with a .263 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 14 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 2-2 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 36.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won four of their last five home games.
- The Braves have lost three of their last four Tuesday day games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight games as road favorites.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last four day games at LoanDepot Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Braves’ last seven games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 games as road favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four home games.
- Braxton Garrett has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 15 home games against NL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (63) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last two games as road favorites against the Marlins.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- Drake Baldwin ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (57) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (57).
- The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (10).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (430).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.439).
Marlins vs Braves Prediction
Miami was able to get the blowout victory on Monday night and they have scored 25 runs in their last three games. The Marlins are 15-12 at home this year, while the Braves are 16-8 on the road. Atlanta has alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Braves are starting Perez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in back to back starts, while Garrett really struggled in his first start. Take the Braves here.