NY Mets (1-2) vs. Miami Marlins (3-1)
March 31, 2025 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins 160 / NY Mets -192; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, March 31, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (1-2, 1-2 Away) played three low-scoring games in the opening series of the season against the Houston Astros. The Mets lost 3-1 before responding with the same result and a W, while the series was decided in Houston’s favor as the Astros won 2-1. New York finished the last season with an 89-73 record and made it to the NLCS after eliminating the Brewers and Phillies, but the Dodgers stopped them in six games.
This year, the Mets average 1.67 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .136/.260/.216 slash line. The Mets’ pitching staff has a 1.80 ERA (5th) and 1.12 WHIP (14th). Juan Soto is the best offensive player for the Mets, with a .333 batting average, one home run, and two RBI last season.
David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets on Monday. The 29-year-old left-hander went 10-3 in 21 starts last season, with a 2.90 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 121.0 innings.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins (3-1, 3-1 Home) experienced a positive start to the season and nearly swept the Pittsburgh Penguins in a four-game series. All four games were quite close as each team recorded a one-run victory. Miami secured a 3-2 win in Game 2 to win the series.
This season, the Marlins average 4.00 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .250/.331/.368 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 2.31 ERA (7th) and 1.28 WHIP (18th). Otto Lopez leads the Marlins with a .333 batting average, one home run, and four RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Marlins is Cal Quantrill, who went 8-11 with a 4.98 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP over 148.1 innings pitched in 2024 for the Colorado Rockies.
Why the Mets will beat the Marlins
- The Marlins have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Mets have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Marlins following a road loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six games at LoanDepot Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Marlins.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 Monday games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven night games between the Mets and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
The Mets won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four, while New York was better in four of the past six H2Hs in Miami. Even though the Marlins have three wins out of the opening four games, it’s going to be much harder against the Mets, who have tremendous hitters in their lineup. Peterson didn’t impress in his two starts against Miami last year, allowing a 5.40 ERA in 10.0 innings, but the Mets won both games. I am backing the visitors to get a W here.
