Marlins vs Mets Prediction 5/23/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 23rd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 23-29 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-1 last night. Miami trailed early in the game, but they scored once in the second inning and once in the fourth to get the win. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Caissie, who went 1-2 with two RBIs. Perez allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings for the win, while Fairbanks picked up the save. Prior to this series, Miami lost three out of four against the Braves and two out of three against the Rays. 

This season, Miami has a 4.33 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they have scored 223 runs with a .243 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 42 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 4-0 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 53.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 22-29 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-1 on Friday. New York led 1-0 in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings for the loss. The Mets recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Soto, who went 2-3 with one home run and one RBI. Myers allowed one earned run over 1.1 innings, while Manaea was charged with the loss in bulk relief. Prior to this series, New York split four games with the Nationals and won two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, New York has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 205 runs with a .230 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Mark Vientos has led the Mets with six home runs and 22 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 3-3 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 54.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The favorites have won each of the Marlins’ last seven games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against NL East opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in five of the Marlins’ last six games.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have won the first inning in four of their last five games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Mets’ last 10 day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last five games as home favorites.
• Otto Lopez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last four day games.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (68) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in four of the Mets’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog .
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 13 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (62).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (11).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.356).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (67).

Marlins vs Mets Prediction 

Miami snapped their losing streak with a win on Friday night, but they have allowed 8+ runs in three of their last four games. The Marlins are 16-15 at home this year, while the Mets are 11-16 on the road. New York has also lost three of their last four games and they have scored just three runs in their last two. The Mets are starting Peralta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Meyer has also allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the under here.