Marlins vs Mets Prediction 9/8/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (66-78) vs. Miami Marlins (72-73)
September 8, 2026 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -136 / NY Mets 113; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 8th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 72-73 this year after they lost game one by a score of 4-9 on Monday. Miami led 4-3 in the second inning, but failed to score over the last seven innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Pauley, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Perez allowed 10 hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Ekness allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Cubs, but did win two out of three against the Royals before that.
This season, Miami has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 635 runs with a .247 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with 10 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 55 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 13-9 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 195.2 innings pitched this year.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 66-78 this season after they won game one by a score of 9-4 on Monday afternoon. New York blew an early 3-0 lead, but they scored the last six runs for the blowout win. The Mets recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Ewing, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. Tong allowed four hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Warren threw an inning in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Giants and two out of three against the Rays.
This season, New York has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 605 runs with a .237 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 23 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 16 home runs and 72 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 4-7 with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 128.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last seven games against the Mets following a home loss.
- The Mets have lost each of their last seven road games against the Marlins following a road win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games against NL opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games following a win.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Mets have won each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against NL opponents.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Mets and Marlins.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mets’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Marlins’ last 16 night games against NL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games at LoanDepot Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Heriberto Hernandez has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last nine games as favorites.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances against the Marlins.
- Christopher Morel has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
New York was able to get the win on Monday in game one and they have won four of their last five games. The Mets are 32-38 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 43-30 at home. Miami has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in all four of those losses. The Marlins are starting Alcantara, who has allowed 4, 4, 1, and 3 earned runs in his last four outings, while Manaea has allowed 4+ earned runs in four straight starts. Take Miami to win here.