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Marlins vs. Nationals Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/16/23

Washington Nationals (18-23) vs. Miami Marlins (20-21)
May 16, 2023 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -145 / Washington Nationals +125; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from LoanDepot Park on Tuesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


Miami is listed as a -145 home favorite while Washington is a +125 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Josiah Gray will start for Washington is 3-5 with a 2.96 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Miami will start Jesus Luzardo here and he is 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Washington’s 6-1 win over Miami on September 25th, 2022, snapped the Marlins’ three-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.


Washington is 26-61 in their last 87 games following a win and 19-60 in their last 79 division games while the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a left-handed starter. Miami is 1-5 in their last 6 home games and 15-38 in their last 53 division games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 series-opening games.


I’m rolling with the under here. I think this has all of the makings and potential to be a bona fide pitcher’s duel with both Luzardo and Gray pitching really well right now and I’m not sure I can trust either offense here to do a whole lot to push this total too high. This feels like a first to 3 or maybe first to 4 wins kind of game, so give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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