Marlins vs Orioles Prediction 5/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, May 7th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 16-21 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 7-9 and 4-7. In game two, Miami tied the game at three in the first inning, but they only managed one run over the last eight innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Marsee, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Perez allowed four hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Fulton allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost three out of four against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Dodgers before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 157 runs with a .250 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with eight home runs and 32 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 16 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 2-0 with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 17-20 this season after they won game two by a score of 7-4 last night. Baltimore blew a 3-0 lead in the first inning, but they scored the next three runs to get the victory. The Orioles recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Alonso, who went 1-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Young allowed four hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Garcia picked up the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore lost all four against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Astros before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.88 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and a .271 opponent batting average, while they have scored 171 runs with a .234 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson has led the Orioles with nine home runs and 19 RBIs, while Jeremiah Jackson has added six home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 1-1 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Orioles have lost nine of their last 12 night games following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five Thursday games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine Thursday night road games.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Orioles and Marlins.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last seven games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Orioles’ last 12 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games against American League opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last six games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Marlins vs Orioles Prediction 

Miami comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have allowed at least seven runs in three of those four losses. The Marlins are 11-11 at home this year, while the Orioles are 8-11 on the road. Baltimore has won two in a row, but they continue to allow way too many runs. The O’s are starting Povich, who has allowed 5, 1, and 2 earned runs in his last three starts, while Meyer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Take the Marlins to win at home.