Marlins vs Phillies Prediction 9/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Marlins vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 83-59 on the year and play the Mets, Royals, and Dodgers next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .258 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .426 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 178 hits and 68 RBI, while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 254 hits and 180 RBI.

Taijuan Walker gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 4-7 with a 3.92 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. Walker is 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA and 86 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 65-77 on the year and play the Nationals, Tigers, and Rockies next. The Miami Marlins are batting .249 on the season, have a .313 OBP, and a .391 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 142 hits and 34 RBI while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 228 hits and 139 RBI.

The Miami Marlins didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time of this writing.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 7, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Phillies have lost six of their last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 15 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Phillies at LoanDepot Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker      Record this season: 4-7      ERA: 3.92
• Road Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four day games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight Sunday appearances at LoanDepot Park.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Max Kepler has hit a home run in five of his last nine road appearances against the Marlins.
• Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in 14 of his 17 previous appearances against the Marlins.
• Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five day games.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Marlins.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (178) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (133).
• The Marlins rank T4th in the league for triples this season (26).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1295).
• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (386).

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction

As I’ve said before, the Marlins haven’t been the same team since sweeping the Yankees about a month ago. With losses in 5 straight games, it feels like the Marlins have run out of gas and are ready to regroup after this month. The Phillies are having a solid week and Walker has been respectable this season with a 3.92 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. This is a cheap price, as you can argue the Phillies should be bigger favorites based on how the Marlins look right now. Give me the Phillies.