Marlins vs Pirates Prediction 8/11/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 11th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 60-59 this season after they won two out of three against the Angels by scores of 3-4, 7-0, and 12-3. In game three, Miami had their lead cut to 3-2 in the second inning, but they scored the next nine runs for the blowout win. The Marlins recorded 14 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Sanoja, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Gusto allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Petersen got the win in relief. Prior to that series, Miami lost all three against the Braves, but did win three out of four against the Mets before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 524 runs with a .251 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 53 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 12 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 5-9 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 109.2 innings pitched this season. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 58-62 this year after they lost two out of three against the Mets by scores of 4-6, 9-0, and 1-11. In game three, Pittsburgh cut the deficit to 5-1 in the third inning, but was outscored 6-0 the rest of the way in the ugly loss. The Pirates recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mangum, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Jones allowed six hits and eight earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Sisk allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Pittsburgh lost three out of four against the Brewers and three out of four against the Reds. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.34 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 602 runs with a .256 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 25 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 9-10 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 129.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last 10 home games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have lost six of their last eight games as favorites.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight home night games.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last six night games against the Pirates at LoanDepot Park following a win.
• The Pirates have won five of their last six night games at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Marlins’ last seven games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against National League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last four games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Griffin Conine has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last four games as home underdogs.
• Eury Perez has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Paul Skenes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Pirates as favorites against NL opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 11 games as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Endy Rodriguez has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup really struggling over the last two weeks and they have allowed 22 runs in their last three losses. The Pirates are 28-32 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 36-24 at home. Miami did just win a series against the Angels and they are above .500 at the moment. The Marlins are starting Perez, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in two of his last three starts, while Skenes has allowed 3+ earned runs in three straight outings. Take the over here.