Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction 8/24/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 24th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 67-64 this season after they swept the Nationals by scores of 3-2, 4-2, and 6-2. In game three, Miami had their lead cut to 3-2 in the sixth inning, but they scored the last three runs to secure the win. The Marlins recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mack, who went 1-2 with two RBIs. Junk allowed two hits and one earned run over 4.2 innings, while Petersen got the win and Ralston picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Miami lost all three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.90 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 573 runs with a .249 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 58 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 13 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 13-8 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 176.2 innings pitched this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 71-59 this year after they swept the Giants in three games by scores of 6-4, 3-2, and 5-4. In game three, Boston trailed 3-0 in the second inning, but they scored five straight runs and hung on for the close win. The Red Sox recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Rafaela, who went 3-4 with two RBIs. Bennett allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Chapman picked up the save. Prior to that series, Boston won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, Boston has a 3.51 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 589 runs with a .251 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 17 home runs and 62 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Ranger Suarez, who is 5-3 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won each of their last 16 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of the Red Sox’s last 11 road games against NL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Griffin Conine has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 17 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
• Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (155) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Mickey Gasper has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 15 road games against NL East opponents.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against the Marlins.
• Willson Contreras ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (132).
• The Red Sox rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (238).
• The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (126).

Marlins vs Red Sox Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup after winning four of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in four of those five. The Red Sox are 37-27 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 41-25 at home. Miami is coming off of a sweep against the Nationals and they allowed two runs in all three of those games. The Marlins are starting Alcantara, who has allowed 3, 1, 0, 0, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts, while Suarez has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four outings. Take the Marlins to win again here.