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Marlins vs Reds Prediction 4/23/25 MLB Picks Today

Cincinnati Reds (11-13) vs. Miami Marlins (11-12)
April 23, 2025 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -130 / Cincinnati Reds 110; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Marlins vs Reds Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs Reds Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 11-13 on the year and play the Rockies, Cardinals, and Nationals next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .242 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .392 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. TJ Friedl leads the Cincinnati Reds with 27 hits and 11 RBI, while Gavin Lux and Elly De La Cruz have combined for 47 hits and 33 RBI.


Brady Singer gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 3-0 with a 3.80 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. This will be Singer’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 11-12 on the year and play the Mariners, Dodgers, and Athletics next. The Miami Marlins are batting .263 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .390 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 27 hits and 7 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Otto Lopez have combined for 43 hits and 25 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. Alcantara is 2-3 with a 3.03 ERA and 45 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Reds have lost each of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Reds following a home win.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
  • The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

  • The Reds have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 23 of their last 24 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last five Wednesday games at LoanDepot Park.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as favorites.
  • Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL Central opponents.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded a Single in five of the Marlins’ last six games.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Wednesday appearances at LoanDepot Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games as underdogs.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last six day games.
  • Brady Singer has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 day games.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one Double in each of his five previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Marlins.
  • Jeimer Candelario has scored a run in each of his five previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Marlins.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (9) this season.

Marlins vs Reds Prediction

You can make a case for the Reds and the plus money because they’re the better team on paper, and Singer has been better than Alcantara so far this season. However, the Reds continue to underachieve, and they haven’t looked good in this series.

The Marlins continue to hit the ball well and are surprisingly hovering around a .500 record. Also, Alcantara is still one of the best pitchers in baseball despite his early struggles. Additionally, most of Alcantara’s struggles have come on the road this season, as he’s allowing a .182 batting average and has 12 strikeouts in 15.1 home innings. Give me the Marlins and the cheap price on Wednesday afternoon.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins -130

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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