Marlins vs Rockies Prediction 3/28/26 MLB Picks Today
Colorado Rockies (0-1) vs. Miami Marlins (1-0)
March 28, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -193 / Colorado Rockies 159; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Colorado Rockies and Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action at loanDepot park. Here’s a Marlins vs. Rockies Prediction. This article will include a Marlins vs. Rockies Pick.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 0-1 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Phillies next. The Colorado Rockies are batting .219 on the season and have a .265 OBP, and a .219 slugging percentage. The Colorado Rockies pitching staff has a 2.25 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Colorado Rockies with 2 hits and 0 RBI, while TJ Rumfield and Jordan Beck have combined for 2 hits and 1 RBI.
Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Colorado Rockies, and he was 7-11 with a 4.64 ERA and 127 strikeouts last season. Lorenzen is 4-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 46 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 1-0 on the year and play the White Sox and Yankees next. The Miami Marlins are batting .250 on the season and have a .314 OBP, and a .344 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 0.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Javier Sanoja leads the Miami Marlins with 3 hits and 1 RBI while Connor Norby and Jakob Marsee have combined for 3 hits and 0 RBI.
Eury Perez gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he was 7-6 with a 4.26 ERA and 105 strikeouts last season. Perez is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Colorado Rockies.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 13 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have won each of their last 10 games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last 10 road games against National League opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Saturday games.
- The Rockies have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The road team has won seven of the last eight games between the Rockies and Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL West opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rockies’ last three games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Rockies and Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Jake McCarthy has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins.
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
- Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins ranked 27th in the league for home runs last season (154).
- The Marlins ranked T4th in the league for triples last season (29).
- The Rockies ranked 30th in the league for on-base percentage last season (.293).
- The Rockies ranked 30th in the league for walks last season (395).
Marlins vs Rockies Prediction
Lorenzen is capable of a solid showing and was an all-star once, but he’s also hittable at times. Lorenzen had a 5.56 ERA and .281 allowed batting average in 77.2 road innings last season. I like the direction the Marlins are heading and believe they’ll be in the thick of the wild card race this season. Perez is one of the best young pitchers in baseball and this should be a breakout season. The Rockies couldn’t get anything going yesterday. I doubt that changes here against Perez. Give me the Marlins and the RL for max betting value.