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Marlins vs Tigers Prediction 9/14/25 MLB Picks Today

Detroit Tigers (84-65) vs. Miami Marlins (70-79)
September 14, 2025 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins / Detroit Tigers; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 14th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 70-79 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-2 and 6-4. In their game two win, Miami trailed 4-3 in the 11th inning, but they scored three runs in the bottom of the inning to get the win. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Johnston, who went 2-4 with two home runs and three RBIs in the win. Miami started Junk, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Simpson got the win. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins split four games with the Nationals and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Miami has won four games in a row and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.71 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 655 runs with a .250 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 20 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Adam Mazur, who is 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over 20.0 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 84-65 this season after they lost game two by a score of 6-4 on Saturday afternoon. Detroit led 3-2 in the fifth and 4-3 in the 11th, but the bullpen was a serious issue once again for the loss. The Tigers recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Carpenter, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Detroit started Morton, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Montero blew the save and got the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Yankees, but lost two out of three against the White Sox before that. Detroit has lost four of their last six games, but they are still first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 727 runs with a .250 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 34 home runs and 108 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 28 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is TBD.

Why the Marlins will beat the Tigers

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have won each of their last five day games following a home win.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in 16 of their last 17 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday games.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Tigers will beat the Marlins

  • The Tigers have won each of their last six day games after going to extra innings.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games after going to extra innings.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games at LoanDepot Park following an extra innings win.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against the Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Marlins’ last nine home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Sunday appearances at LoanDepot Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Rogers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Wenceel Perez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Marlins vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup looking to snap their three game losing streak, as they watch Cleveland getting closer and closer in the Central. The Tigers are 38-36 on the road this season, while the Marlins are 36-41 at home. Miami has won four games in a row and they have scored 27 runs in those four games. The Marlins are starting Mazur, who has allowed four earned runs in three of his four starts. Detroit was supposed to start Mize in this game, but they are listing their starter as TBD for now. We know the Detroit bullpen has issues and Mazur has not been good, so take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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