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Marlins vs Yankees Prediction 8/3/25 MLB Picks Today

NY Yankees (60-51) vs. Miami Marlins (54-55)
August 3, 2025 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -108 / NY Yankees -112; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 3rd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 54-55 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 13-12 and 2-0. In their game two win, Miami took the lead in the first inning and never looked back in the low scoring victory. The Marlins recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez, who went 2-3 with two home runs and two RBIs in the win. Miami started Perez, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Faucher picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Brewers. Miami has won four games in a row and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 468 runs with a .252 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 24 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 17 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Edward Cabrera, who is 4-5 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 60-51 this year after they lost game two in this series by a score of 2-0 on Saturday afternoon. New York did next to nothing at the plate in the game, as the Miami pitching staff dominated all afternoon. The Yankees recorded just two hits in the game and they were led by Stanton and Rice, who both had one hit in the loss. New York started Schlittler, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bird, Weaver, and Hill threw 3.0 scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Yankees won three out of four against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Phillies before that. New York has won three of their last five games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 576 runs with a .252 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this season. Cody Bellinger has led New York with 20 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Jazz Chisholm has added 18 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is coming off of the IL and making his first start of the season. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Yankees

  • The Marlins have won five of their last six games as home underdogs.
  • The Yankees have lost 12 of their last 15 games as road favorites.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last 11 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against the Yankees.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Marlins’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five games as road favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games as underdogs.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Edward Cabrera has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances.
  • Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six games as favorites.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.

Marlins vs Yankees Prediction

Miami comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep, as they have a ton of momentum right now. The Marlins are 26-29 at home this season, while the Yankees are 26-29 on the road. New York is now third in the AL East standings and they are starting Gil, who is a solid pitcher, but hasn’t pitched in the MLB in a while. The Marlins are going with Cabrera, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Miami has the advantage on the mound and all of the momentum, so I like them to win again. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Marlins ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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