Mets vs Angels Prediction 5/3/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Angels Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 3^rd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels have a 13-21 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL West. They have a 6-8 home record and are coming off a 4-3 win at home against the Mets. Their previous three games were a 3-4 loss at home against the Mets, a 2-3 and a 2-5 loss on the road against the White Sox.

The Angels have a .235 batting average this season, .328 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’ pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Jo Adell is the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. Jorge Soler leads the team in RBI with 25, and Mike Trout adds a team‑high 10 home runs.

Jack Kochanowicz (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels, and he has a 2-0 record, 3.09 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 11-22 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 5-10 away record and are coming off a 3-4 loss on the road against the Angels. Their previous three games were a 4-3 win on the road against the Angels, a 4-5 loss and a 2-14 loss at home against the Nationals.

The Mets have a .227 batting average this season, .289 OBP and .341 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette is the team’s best hitter with a .237 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 15. Francisco Alvarez adds a team‑high 4 home runs.

Clay Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 3-2 record, 1.75 ERA and 0.97 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends: May 3, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jack Kochanowicz      Record this season: 2-0      ERA: 3.09
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last nine day games following a loss.
• The underdogs have won seven of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against AL West opponents.
• The Angels have won the first inning in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Clay Holmes      Record this season: 3-2      ERA: 1.75
• Road Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Angels: 0-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Angels have lost seven of their last eight games.
• The Mets have won each of their last four road games against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Angels have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games at Angel Stadium of Anaheim against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Mets and Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mets’ last eight road games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 Sunday day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last six games against NL East opponents.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

• Mike Trout has hit a home run in four of the Angels’ last five day games.
• Jorge Soler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Angels as underdogs.
• Mike Trout ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.431) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last six games as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against AL West opponents.
• Clay Holmes ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.75) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Angels rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (336).
• The Angels rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (158).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.341).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.289).

Mets vs Angels Prediction

The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Angels but are 1-3 in their last four visits in Los Angeles.

In this Mets vs Angels Prediction, the Mets are coming as -135 road favorites. Those two teams are two of the bottom-4 teams in baseball this season with the Mets having the worst record in the majors. Clay Holmes takes the mound for New York and he has been excellent this season and coming off a shutout start and he will have no problem against a weak Angels lineup. The Mets havea superior bullpen, with the Angels ranking 29^th in bullpen ERA and are weaker against right-handed pitching. Jack Kochanowicz has been playing much better than his 4.64 expected ERA indicates, so take the Mets to win this one on the road.