Mets vs Angels Prediction 5/1/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Angels Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, May 1^st in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Los Angeles Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels have a 12-20 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the AL West. They have a 5-7 home record and are coming off a 2-3 loss on the road against the White Sox. Their previous three games were a 2-5 loss and a 7-8 loss on the road against the White Sox, and a 9-11 loss on the road against the Royals.

The Angels have a .236 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’ pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Jo Adell is the team’s best hitter with a .262 batting average. Jorge Soler leads the team in RBI with 23, and Mike Trout adds a team‑high 10 home runs.

Walbert Urena (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels, and he has a 0-3 record, 4.76 ERA and 2.21 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 10-21 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 4-9 away record and are coming off a 4-5 loss at home against the Nationals. Their previous three games were a 2-14 loss and an 8-0 win at home against the Nationals, and a 0-3 loss at home against the Rockies.

The Mets have a .227 batting average this season, .289 OBP and .342 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Bo Bichette is the team’s best hitter with a .230 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 14. Francisco Alvarez adds a team‑high 4 home runs.

Christian Scott (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-0 record, 6.75 ERA and 3.75 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends: May 1, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Walbert Ureña      Record this season: 0-3      ERA: 4.76
• Home Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Los Angeles Angels will win

• The home team has won each of the Angels’ last seven games.
• The Mets have lost each of their last six road games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Angels have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs following an extra innings loss.
• The Angels have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games against AL West opponents.
• The Angels have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against the Mets.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 6.75
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Angels: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Angels have lost each of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have won seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Angels have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Friday night road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Angels’ last six home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Mets’ last 13 road games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven road games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last four games against NL East opponents.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

• Jorge Soler has hit a home run in each of the Angels’ last two games against NL East opponents.
• Jo Adell has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Mike Trout ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Angels rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (314).
• The Angels rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (153).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.342).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.289).

Mets vs Angels Prediction

The Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Angels but are 1-2 in their last three visits in Los Angeles.

In this Mets vs Angels Prediction, the Mets are coming as -125 road favorites. Both teams have been terrible this season and in poor form, with a 1-9 and 1-5 record in their last 10 and 6 games respectively and I don’t trust either pitching in this matchup. Scott was used only for 1.1 innings this season and has a career 4.62 ERA, while Urena has 6 earned runs in two starts this season and a horrendous 2.21 WHIP. Both teams are 7-2 to the over in their last 9 games combined and I expect another high-scoring affair today. Take the over 9.