Mets vs Astros Prediction 8/29/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Astros prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 29th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 60-75 this year after they lost game one by a score of 1-3 last night. New York led 1-0 in the fourth inning, but they went scoreless over the last five innings for the loss. The Mets recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Benge, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Scott allowed one hit and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Lavender blew the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Brewers and two out of three against the White Sox. 

This season, New York has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 553 runs with a .235 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 9-8 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 148.2 innings pitched this year. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 68-67 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-1 on Friday night. Houston scored all three runs in the sixth inning to get the win. The Astros recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Varsho, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Brown allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.2 innings for the win, while Hader got the save. Prior to this series, Houston won two out of three against the Yankees, but lost two out of three against the Athletics before that. 

This season, Houston has a 4.63 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 616 runs with a .242 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 36 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 24 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Bennett Sousa, who is 1-3 with a 6.27 ERA and a 1.82 WHIP over 18.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won five of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
• The Astros have lost eight of their last 10 games following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against AL opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road day games.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven Saturday day games as home favorites against AL opponents.
• The Astros have won eight of their last nine road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 Saturday games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last four games between the Astros and Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last four games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last six games between the Astros and Mets.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in four of the Astros’ last five games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his five previous home appearances against AL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL West opponents.
• Christopher Morel has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AL West opponents.
• Nolan McLean has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four games against NL East opponents.
• Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Cristian Javier has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Astros as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Mets vs Astros Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Mets are 31-38 at home this year, while the Astros are 35-32 on the road. Houston has won three of their last four games and they have allowed one run in back to back games. The Astros are starting Sousa, who will be an opener, while McLean has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts. Take the Mets here.