Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction 6/29/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, June 29^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays have a 39‑45 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL East. They have a 22‑24 home record and are coming off a 2‑3 home defeat against the Rangers. They will face the Mariners and the Giants next.

The Blue Jays have a .248 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .391 Slugging percentage. Toronto’s pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Ernie Clement is the team’s best hitter with a .299 batting average. Kazuma Okamoto leads the team in RBI with 53, adding a team‑high 19 home runs.

Trey Yesavage (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, and he has a 3‑3 record, 3.56 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 35‑49 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 16‑25 road record and are coming off a 5‑4 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Braves and the Royals next.

The Mets have a .231 batting average this season, .300 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average, also adding a team‑high 17 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 46.

Sean Manaea (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 1‑2 record, 4.87 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends: June 29, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trey Yesavage      Record this season: 3-3      ERA: 3.56
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight night games following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have won five of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in five of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 4.87
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 1-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won each of the Blue Jays’ last six games.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Mets’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as home favorites.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four night games.
• Nathan Lukes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ernie Clement ranks T5th in the league in Hits (93) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Carson Benge has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two road games.
• Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances at Rogers Centre against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.567) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (4).
• The Blue Jays rank 29th in the league for walks this season (231).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (101).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.300).

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Mets have won their last four meetings against the Jays and have won two of their last three visits in Toronto.

In this Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction, the Blue Jays are coming as -125 home favorites. Both teams have been struggling lately but I like the Blue Jays at home in this one, as I certainly trust Yesavage more than I trust Manaea. The Mets’ offense has been struggling against right-handed pitching, ranking just 27^th in the last 10 days and Yesavage will have no problem in this matchup. Take the Blue Jays to win.