Mets vs. Braves Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/30/23
Atlanta Braves (18-9) vs. New York Mets (15-12)
April 30, 2023 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets +145 / Atlanta Braves -170; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet in an NL East division matchup in MLB action from Citi Field on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Atlanta is a -170 road favorite while the Mets are +145 home underdogs. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Spencer Strider will start for the Braves and is 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Tylor Megill will start here and is 3-1 with a 3.96 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Atlanta’s 4-0 win on Friday made it five straight wins for the Braves in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Atlanta is 42-14 in their last 56 games following a win and 97-46 in their last 143 games overall while the over is 20-4-2 in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning record. New York is 1-5 in their last 6 games overall and 1-4 in their last 5 division games while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games.
Pick
I’m rolling with the over here. I think the Braves can get to Tylor Megill here as they’ve been hitting righties fairly well so far this season. New York had success against Spencer Strider last season and I think they could at least scratch a couple of runs off of him here to help us push this game up and over the number.