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Mets vs Braves Prediction 6/12/26 MLB Picks Today

Atlanta Braves (45-23) vs. NY Mets (30-38)
June 12, 2026 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -114 / Atlanta Braves -105; Over/Under: 8
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In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 12th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 30-38 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 0-7, 2-9, and 5-4. In game three, New York trailed 4-1 in the second inning, but they scored three runs in the fifth and one in the seventh for the win. The Mets recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Young, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Scott allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Raley picked up the win and Williams got the save. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Padres, but lost two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.88 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 272 runs with a .228 batting average and a .291 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 14 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added six home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 3-4 with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 72.1 innings pitched this season. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 45-23 this year after they lost both games against the White Sox by scores of 5-6 and 1-2. In game two, Atlanta cut the deficit to 2-1 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Braves recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Mateo, who went 2-4. Sale allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Fuentes threw an inning in relief. Prior to that series, Atlanta swept the Pirates in three games and won two out of three against the Blue Jays. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they have scored 350 runs with a .256 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 19 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 4-3 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 56.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last 11 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have lost each of their last three road games.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight Friday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Mets following a loss.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games against the Braves.
  • The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last five Friday games against NL East opponents.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The Braves have won each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have lost eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Braves’ last nine night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Mets’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Spencer Strider’s last seven appearances as a starter.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Mets’ last 12 night games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson ranks 5th in the league in Home Runs (19) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (86).
  • The Mets rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
  • The Braves rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.20).
  • The Braves rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).

Mets vs Braves Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup after a very rare series loss, but they have scored five runs or more in three of their last five games. The Braves are 23-12 on the road this year, while the Mets are 16-17 at home. New York has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 20 runs in their last three. The Mets are starting McLean, who has allowed 1, 1, 7, 6, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts, while Perez has been very good for the Braves all year. Take Atlanta on the road here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Braves ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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