Mets vs Braves Prediction 6/23/25 MLB Picks Today

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mets vs Braves Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Spencer Schwellenbach here, and Schwellenbach is 5-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. In his career, Schwellenbach is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 28 strikeouts against the Mets. The New York Mets will send Paul Blackburn for the start here and is 0-1 with a 6.92 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his career, Blackburn is 0-1 with a 2.63 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-3 loss at the hands of the Miami Marlins last time out to sit at 35-41 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head home for a weekend series with the Philadelphia Phillies.

Braves Looking To Rebound From Series Loss

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 85 hits, including 12 home runs, 40 RBIs, and 13 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 95 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 66 hits with 6 home runs and 27 RBIs in addition to 6 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 70 hits with 18 doubles, 15 home runs, and 49 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 66 hits with 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 65 hits with 11 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost eight of their last nine games.
• The Braves have won seven of their last eight games against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Sean Murphy has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as road favorites against the Mets.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves’ last eight night games.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last six games.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to rebound from their 7-1 loss at the hands of the Phillies on Sunday to sit at 46-32 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Mets Lose 8 Of Their Last 9

Pete Alonso has 85 hits with 22 doubles, 18 home runs, 64 RBIs, and a .290 batting average, while Juan Soto has 70 hits with 14 doubles, 16 home runs, and 41 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 82 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 14 doubles, 16 home runs, and 42 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 70 hits with 14 doubles and 15 home runs, and 41 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
• The Braves have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Mets’ last eight home games against NL opponents.
• Paul Blackburn has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Siri has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Juan Soto ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Mets vs Braves Prediction

I’m on the Braves here. The Mets just continue to slide, and it’s hard to feel good about where this team is headed right now. The Mets would love some revenge, but the Braves see an opportunity to make up ground in the division race here after their slow start to the year, and I think they keep it going. Give me the Braves in this one.