
Mets vs Braves Prediction 6/24/25 MLB Picks Today
Atlanta Braves (36-41) vs. NY Mets (46-33)
June 24, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets 123 / Atlanta Braves -150; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 24th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 46-33 this season after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 on Monday night. New York cut the deficit to 3-2 in the sixth inning, but they couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. New York started Blackburn, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Butto, Stanek, Garrett, and Diaz combined for 4.1 scoreless innings.
Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Braves. New York has lost nine of their last ten games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.20 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 349 runs with a .244 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 18 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 16 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Frankie Montas, who is making his season debut after coming off of the IL.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 36-41 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Monday night. Atlanta led 3-0 in the third inning, which was enough for the win, but they went scoreless over the final six innings. The Braves recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Acuna, Murphy, and Harris II, who all had one RBI in the win. Atlanta started Schwellenbach, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Lee picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did sweep the Mets in three games before that. Atlanta has won eight of their last eleven games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 322 runs with a .245 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 15 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 12 home runs and 40 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 2-5 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 37.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Braves will beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 games.
- The Braves have won eight of their last nine games against the Mets.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Mets.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last eight games at Citi Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 games between the Braves and Mets at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in five of the Mets’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Frankie Montas has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Mets’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Mets.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta was able to get another win over New York to open this series, which was their fourth straight win over the Mets in the last week. The Braves are 14-26 on the road this year, while the Mets are 27-11 at home. New York is really struggling right now and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Mets are starting Montas, who is making his season debut. The Braves are going with Strider, who has allowed a total of one earned run over his last 12.0 innings. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, so give me the Braves here.