Mets vs Braves Prediction 6/26/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 26th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 47-34 this year after they lost two of the first three games in this series by scores of 2-3, 4-7, and 7-3. In their game three win, New York was tied at one in the fourth inning, but scored the next six runs to pull away in the win. The Mets recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Soto, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs in the win. New York started Holmes, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Diaz picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Braves. New York has lost 10 of their last 12 games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 360 runs with a .245 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 18 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 19 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Griffin Canning, who is 7-3 with a 3.91 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 73.2 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 37-42 this season after they lost game three by a score of 7-3 on Wednesday night. Atlanta tied the game in the fourth inning, but they didn’t score again until the ninth, which was too late in the loss. The Braves recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Acuna, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the loss. Atlanta started Fuentes, who allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Cox allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did sweep the Mets in three games before that. Atlanta has won six of their last nine games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 332 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 15 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 12 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 4-6 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Braves will beat the Mets

• The Braves have won each of their last five games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Braves’ last four games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last 10 games between the Braves and Mets at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Griffin Canning has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in five of the Mets’ last six games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 14 games against the Mets.
• Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of his four previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.

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Mets vs Braves Prediction 

New York picked up a much-needed win on Wednesday night, and they will look for the series split with a win here. The Mets are 28-12 at home this season, while the Braves are 15-27 on the road. Atlanta has been the much better team over the last two weeks, and they will start Holmes, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last 12.0 innings. New York is starting Canning, who has allowed 3, 6, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the Braves to get the win here.