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Mets vs Cubs Prediction 6/24/26 MLB Picks Today

Chicago Cubs (41-37) vs. NY Mets (34-44)
June 24, 2026 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets 108 / Chicago Cubs -131; Over/Under: 9
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In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 24th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 34-44 this year after they lost game one by a score of 6-9 on Tuesday night. New York cut the deficit to 5-2 in the second inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the lopsided loss. The Mets recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alvarez, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Senga allowed three hits and seven earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Myers allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Braves before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 317 runs with a .231 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 17 home runs and 38 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added nine home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York in game one is Nolan McLean, who is 4-4 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Sean Manaea, who is 1-2 with a 4.64 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 54.1 innings pitched this year. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 41-37 this season after they won game one by a score of 9-6 last night. Chicago scored five runs in the second inning and never looked back in the fairly easy victory. The Cubs recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Swanson, who went 2-3 with one home run and four RBIs. Cabrera allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Murray allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Chicago won two out of three against the Rockies and two out of three against the Giants. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 375 runs with a .244 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Michael Busch has led the Cubs with eight home runs and 42 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 16 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago for both games of the doubleheader is TBD. 

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Mets have won seven of their last eight day games after playing the previous day.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Wednesday games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in 12 of their last 15 games as underdogs on the first leg of a doubleheader.
  • The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Citi Field.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cubs have won each of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as favorites.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cubs’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the last five games between the Cubs and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Cubs’ last 10 games against NL East opponents.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven Wednesday games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 Wednesday day appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Bo Bichette has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two home games against NL Central opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (95).
  • The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
  • The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (345).
  • The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.338).

Mets vs Cubs Prediction 

Chicago was able to get the win on Tuesday to start this series after Monday’s game was postponed, which means we have a doubleheader today. The Cubs are 18-20 on the road this year, while the Mets are 18-19 at home. New York has lost three in a row and they have allowed 30 runs in those three losses. The Cubs haven’t announced their pitching plans for this game, but McLean has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts and Manaea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight outings. I like how both starters for the Mets have pitched recently, so I will take New York in both games. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Game 1: Mets ML Game 2: Mets ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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