Mets vs Cubs Prediction 4/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, April 17^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 9-9 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL Central. They have a 4-5 home record and are coming off an 11-2 road win against the Phillies. Their previous three games were a 10-4 road win and a 7-13 road loss to the Phillies, and a 7-6 home win against the Pirates.

The Cubs have a .248 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .324 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 18. Dansby Swanson adds a team‑high 4 home runs.

Edward Cabrera (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 1-0 record, 1.62 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 7-12 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 4-6 away record and are coming off a 2-8 road loss against the Dodgers. Their previous three games were a 1-2 and a 0-4 road loss to the Dodgers, and a 0-1 home loss to the Athletics.

The Mets have a .220 batting average this season, .286 OBP and .331 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Francisco Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .271 batting average, also adding a team‑high 4 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 9.

Kodai Senga (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-2 record, 7.07 ERA and 1.71 WHIP.

New York Mets @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: April 17, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 1.62
• Home Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Mets: 1-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight games.
• The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga      Record this season: 0-2      ERA: 7.07
• Road Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Cubs: 1-1

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last 10 games against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Cubs have lost each of their last nine games against the Mets following a win.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games at Wrigley Field following a loss.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last five Friday games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Friday road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cubs’ last eight games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games against National League opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Nico Hoerner ranks T9th in the league in Hits (23) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Cubs.
• Kodai Senga has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (128).
• The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.220).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.286).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.331).

Mets vs Cubs Prediction

The Athletics are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the White Sox and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings at home.

In this Mets vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -140 home favorites. The Mets have been on a free fall with eight consecutive losses as their offense has been non-existent. They have two runs scored or less in seven of their last eight games, ranking 26^th in the league in runs per game and Kodai Senga has been looking bad this season and was torched in his last start with 7 earned runs. On the flip side, Cabrera’s two of his three starts where shutouts this season so keep this one simple and take the Cubs on the moneyline to win at home.