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Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction 4/29/25 MLB Picks Today

Arizona Diamondbacks (15-13) vs. NY Mets (20-9)
April 29, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -148 / Arizona Diamondbacks 124; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 29, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks (15-13, 7-5 Away) went through their weakest period of the season, during which they suffered four consecutive defeats. The D-backs avoided being swept by the Rays with a 6-4 home win in Game 3. Josh Naylor and Geraldo Perdomo led the offense with two RBI apiece, while Brandon Pfaadt got the win after allowing three runs (two earned) on nine hits with six strikeouts and one walk over 6.0 innings of work.

This season, the Diamondbacks average 5.36 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .245/.335/.445 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.38 ERA (23rd) and 1.26 WHIP (14th). Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with a .308 batting average, nine home runs, and 23 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 1-2 in five starts this season, with a 4.40 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 28.2 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (20-9, 12-1 Home) were on a seven-game winning streak, during which they swept the Cardinals and Phillies, but then split a four-game series with the Nationals on the road. The Mets scored a season-high 19 runs in the latest 19-5 victory over the Nats. Brandon Nimmo blasted a grand slam and matched a franchise record of nine RBI in the best game of his career. Mark Vientos and Jeff McNeil contributed three RBI apiece, while Griffin Canning got the win after allowing no runs on four hits with five strikeouts and three walks in 5.0 innings.

This year, the Mets average 4.21 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .236/.311/.390 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 2.53 ERA (1st) and 1.20 WHIP (8th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .337 batting average, six home runs, and 27 RBI this season.

David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets on Tuesday. The 29-year-old left-hander has a 1-1 record in five starts this year with a 3.29 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 27.1 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mets’ last seven home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mets rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (276).
  • The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (14).
  • The Diamondbacks are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Diamondbacks rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (6).

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Mets won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Diamondbacks were better in three of the last five. Eight of those ten H2Hs went Over, while that was the case in seven of Arizona’s previous ten games this season. Both teams are batting well against southpaws, and considering we have a pitching matchup between Rodriguez and Peterson, I expect to see a high-scoring affair. Peterson allowed a .341 BA in 41 at-bats against the D-backs. Arizona could be up after the opening five or six innings, but don’t forget that the Mets have the best bullpen in baseball at the moment. Still, I am going with Over for the argument stated above.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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