Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction 4/30/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 30th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 21-9 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 8-3. New York scored the first eight runs in the game, and they were able to get the easy win. The Mets recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lindor, Marte, and Taylor, who all had two RBIs in the win. New York started Peterson, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings in the win, while Butto and Herget finished the last four innings. 

Prior to this series, the Mets split four games against the Nationals and swept the Phillies in three games. New York has won 10 of their last 12 games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.60 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 145 runs with a .248 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with seven home runs and 28 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has added six home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is TBD.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 15-14 this season after they lost game one on Monday night. Arizona never had a chance in this game, but they scored three late runs to avoid the shutout. The Diamondbacks recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Barrosa, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Arizona started Rodriguez, who allowed nine hits and eight earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Nelson allowed zero runs over the final four innings. 

Prior to this series, the Diamondbacks lost two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Rays. Arizona has lost five of its last six games, and they are currently fourth in the NL West standings. The Arizona pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 153 runs with a .244 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this year. Eugenio Suarez has led Arizona with 10 home runs and 20 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs this season. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Corbin Burnes, who is 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Mets

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 10 Wednesday games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have lost six of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday night road games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Wednesday games.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last nine night games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Diamondbacks’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Diamondbacks and Mets.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven night games against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Mets’ last nine night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last seven games against the Diamondbacks.
• Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six home games against the Diamondbacks.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ketel Marte has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ketel Marte has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Wednesday night appearances.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ketel Marte has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Pavin Smith has recorded two hits in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five road games against NL East opponents.

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction 

New York continues to play very well this season, and they have scored 34 runs in their last three games. The Mets are 13-1 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 7-6 on the road. Arizona has really struggled over the last week, and their pitching staff continues to be a huge problem, which was the same issue they had last season. Arizona is starting Burnes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts. The Mets haven’t named a starting pitcher for this one yet, but we know their offense is red hot right now. I do like how Burnes has pitched in his last two outings, and I will take Arizona to win, but their bullpen is a problem.