Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction 4/7/26 MLB Picks Today

The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Diamondbacks Pick.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 5-5 on the year and play the Orioles and Phillies next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 211 on the season, have a .271 OBP, and have a .367 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 10 hits and 9 RBI while Ketel Marte and Gabriel Moreno have combined for 14 hits and 5 RBI.

Zac Gallen gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. Gallen is 2-2 with a 3.07 ERA and 46 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 6-4 on the year and play the Dodgers and Athletics next. The New York Mets are batting. 250 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and have a .390 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.53 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Juan Soto leads the New York Mets with 11 hits and 5 RBI, while Mark Vientos and Luis Robert Jr. have combined for 20 hits and 10 RBI.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-0 with a 4.35 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 4-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won each of their last nine Tuesday games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against NL West opponents following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Mets following a home win.
• The Mets have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against NL West opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against the Diamondbacks at Citi Field.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 17 games as road underdogs following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Diamondbacks and Mets has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Juan Soto has hit two home runs in each of the Mets’ last two games as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last six Tuesday appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 12 home games against NL opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Zac Gallen has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games.
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Mets after not playing the previous day.
• Zac Gallen has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank T1st in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Mets rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (89).
• The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for walks this season (25).

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Mets should be favored at home with Peralta on the mound, who has had career success against the Diamondbacks. The Mets have played the better ball out of the gate. However, gallons plus money is hard to turn down. You’re talking about a one-time all-star and somebody who has finished in the top 10 in CY Young people voting three times. He was up and down last season; I get it. However, Gallen is still a quality arm when right. The value is with the Diamondbacks and the more favorable price with their ace on the bump.