Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction 4/8/26 MLB Picks Today
Arizona Diamondbacks (5-6) vs. NY Mets (7-4)
April 8, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -136 / Arizona Diamondbacks 113; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs. Diamondbacks Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs. Diamondbacks Pick.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 5-6 on the year and play the Orioles and Phillies next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting. 213 on the season, have a .274 OBP, and have a .357 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 11 hits and 9 RBI while Ketel Marte and Gabriel Moreno have combined for 18 hits and 5 RBI.
Ryne Nelson gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. Nelson is 0-3 with a 6.95 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 7-4 on the year and play the Dodgers and Athletics next. The New York Mets are batting. 249 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and have a .380 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.54 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Juan Soto leads the New York Mets with 11 hits and 5 RBI, while Mark Vientos and Luis Robert Jr. have combined for 20 hits and 10 RBI.
David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. Peterson is 1-1 with a 4.20 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven road games.
- The Mets have won each of their last four games.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Mets have won the first inning in five of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight Wednesday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last 12 day games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six day games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit two home runs in each of his last two appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Diamondbacks.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Carson Benge ranks T5th in the league in Steals (4) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- James McCann has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citi Field.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (2.54).
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.274).
- The Diamondbacks rank tied for 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (79).
Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Mets have been on fire offensively this week and the bats have a chance to stay hot after an extra innings game last night. Nelson and Peterson have both struggled out of the gate, as Nelson has a 5.79 ERA through 9.1 innings, while Peterson has a 1.97 WHIP through 9.2 innings. Two struggling pitchers, two capable lineups, a low total—I’ll take a stab at the over in this spot.