Mets vs Dodgers Prediction 7/24/26 MLB Picks Today
LA Dodgers (65-38) vs. NY Mets (43-60)
July 24, 2026 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets 129 / LA Dodgers -156; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action at Citi Field. Here’s a Mets vs Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Dodgers Pick.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 65-38 on the year and play the Red Sox and Mariners next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .260 on the season and have a .341 OBP and a .432 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.55 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 109 hits and 51 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 207 hits and 128 RBI.
Roki Sasaki gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 3-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. This will be Sasaki’s first career game against the New York Mets.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 43-60 on the year and play the Marlins and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .234 on the season, have a .304 OBP, and have a .383 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 103 hits and 51 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 181 hits and 92 RBI.
Sean Manaea gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-5 with a 4.74 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Manaea is 1-5 with a 7.09 ERA and 42 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Dodgers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Mets have won six of their last nine games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won 11 of their last 12 games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost each of their last five home games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line each of their last six games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Dodgers’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four night games at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games against NL West opponents.
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games.
- Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Roki Sasaki has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (128).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (128).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction
Two lineups that are capable of producing and two pitchers that aren’t scaring anybody. Sasaki has a 4.98 ERA and 1.34 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 16 hits and 9 earned runs in his last 14.2 innings. In 41.2 innings on the road, Sasaki has a 5.40 ERA and .250 allowed batting average. Manaea has a 4.74 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the season and has a 4.82 ERA and .265 allowed batting average at home. This feels like a high-scoring game. Expect some offense. Give me the over.