Mets vs Giants Prediction 9/4/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 4th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 63-77 this year after they won two out of three against the Rays by scores of 3-2, 2-6, and 10-4. In game three, New York nearly blew a 6-0 lead, but they added four more runs in the 7th/8th innings for the win. The Mets recorded 14 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Baty, who went 1-2 with three RBIs. Hagenman allowed two hits and one earned run over 3.0 innings, while Nunez picked up the win and Lavender got a hold. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Astros and two out of three against the Brewers. 

This season, New York has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 577 runs with a .236 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 23 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 14 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 10-8 with a 3.06 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 155.2 innings pitched this year. 

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 58-83 this season after they lost two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 12-13, 5-4, and 2-5. In game three, San Francisco cut the deficit to 4-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Giants recorded two hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lee, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Tidwell allowed two hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Walker allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, San Francisco won a makeup game with the Braves and split four games with the Diamondbacks. 

This season, San Francisco has a 4.38 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while they have scored 586 runs with a .247 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Rafael Devers has led the Giants with 32 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Willy Adames has added 21 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Matt Wilkinson, who is 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Giants have lost each of their last nine Friday night games against NL opponents.
• The Mets have won each of their last six home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Giants following a win.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday games against NL opponents.
• The Giants have lost the first inning in six of their last eight road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
• The underdogs have won five of the Giants’ last six games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL opponents following a road loss.
• The Giants have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Giants have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Giants’ last four games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last seven games as favorites against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Giants’ last nine night games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last four games as favorites.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Nolan McLean has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Giants.
• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Mets as favorites.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in each of the Giants’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Giants’ last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (179).
• The Giants rank 30th in the league for walks this season (389).
• The Giants rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (130).

Mets vs Giants Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after winning a series against the Rays and they continue to play well in recent weeks. The Mets are 32-39 at home this year, while the Giants are 25-47 on the road. San Francisco has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in four of those five. The Giants are starting Wilkinson, who has allowed 2, 4, and 0 earned runs in his three outings, while McLean has allowed one earned run or fewer in four straight starts. Take the Mets -1.5 here.