Mets vs Giants Prediction 9/6/26 MLB Picks Today
San Francisco Giants (59-84) vs. NY Mets (64-78)
September 6, 2026 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -155 / San Francisco Giants 128; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 6th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 64-78 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 10-6 and 5-9. In game two, New York led 2-1 in the second inning, but they allowed the next five runs for the loss. The Mets recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Baty, who went 1-3 with three RBIs. Thornton allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Yan allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Astros before that.
This season, New York has a 4.13 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 592 runs with a .236 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 23 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 15 home runs and 68 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 4-4 with a 3.80 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 94.2 innings pitched this season.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants are 59-84 this year after they won game two by a score of 9-5 on Saturday. San Francisco blew an early 1-0 lead, but they pulled away in the eighth inning for the win. The Giants recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Devers, who went 2-4 with two home runs and three RBIs. Molina allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Seymour picked up a hold. Prior to this series, San Francisco lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win a makeup game against the Braves before that.
This season, San Francisco has a 4.39 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while they have scored 601 runs with a .248 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Rafael Devers has led the Giants with 35 home runs and 91 RBIs, while Willy Adames has added 21 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Cesar Perdomo, who is 0-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Giants have lost each of their last nine games following a road win.
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against the Giants following a home loss.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Mets following a win.
- The Giants have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Giants.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- The Giants have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last nine Sunday games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against NL opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Giants’ last six games as underdogs against the Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Giants and Mets have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Giants’ last nine games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Mark Vientos has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Giants.
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Drew Gilbert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in eight of the Giants’ last nine games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (180).
- The Giants rank 30th in the league for walks this season (397).
- The Giants rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (136).
Mets vs Giants Prediction
New York comes into this matchup looking for another series win and they have scored 25 runs in their last three games. The Mets are 33-40 at home this year, while the Giants are 26-48 on the road. San Francisco has split their last four games and they have allowed 5+ runs in four of their last five. The Giants are starting Perdomo, who allowed one earned run over 4.0 innings against the Pirates, while Scott has allowed 3+ earned runs in five straight starts. Take the over here.