Mets vs Mariners Prediction 6/3/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (26-35) vs. Seattle Mariners (33-29)
June 3, 2026 3:40 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -149 / NY Mets 123; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Mariners Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 3rd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 33-29 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 19-15 home record and are coming off an 8-3 home win against the Mets. They will face the Tigers and the Orioles next.
The Mariners have a .234 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average. Julio Rodriguez leads the team in RBI with 32, while Luke Raley adds a team-high 13 home runs.
George Kirby (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 5-4 record, 3.77 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 26-35 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 11-20 road record and are coming off a 3-8 road defeat against the Mariners. They will face the Padres and the Cardinals next.
The Mets have a .225 batting average this season, .292 OBP and .358 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .254 batting average. Juan Soto leads the team in RBI with 29, adding a team-high 13 home runs.
Freddy Peralta (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 3-4 record, 3.55 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.
New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: June 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: George Kirby Record this season: 5-4 ERA: 3.77
- Home Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-2
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won each of their last 10 home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight Wednesday day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games against the Mets.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine games.
- The Mariners have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta Record this season: 3-4 ERA: 3.55
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Mariners: 0-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Mariners have lost six of their last seven Wednesday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Mets’ last nine games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Sixteen of the Mariners’ last 21 games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- George Kirby has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
- Randy Arozarena ranks 5th in the league in Steals (17) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against AL West opponents.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (157).
- The Mariners are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (75).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.358).
Mets vs Mariners Prediction
The Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Mets and have won their last five meetings in Seattle.
In this Mets vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -150 home favorites. The Mariners are the hottest team in baseball with 8 consecutive wins and while Kirby is not better than Peralta, the Mariners have the second-best bullpen in the league to back him up. On top of that, the Mariners’ bats have been lights out in the last 10 days, ranking 7th against right-handed pitching, while the Mets rank just 29th in that span. Take the Mariners to win this one at home and finish the series sweep.