Mets vs Mariners Prediction 8/16/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 16th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 64-58 this year after they lost game one by a score of 11-9 on Friday night. New York led 6-4 in the fourth inning, but they didn’t score again until the eighth in the loss. The Mets recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Lindor, who went 3-5 with two home runs and four RBIs in the loss. New York started Manaea, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Helsley and Raley combined to allow five earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Braves and all three against the Brewers. New York has lost 10 of their last 11 games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 544 runs with a .242 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 28 home runs and 99 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 30 home runs and 70 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is making his first start of the season. 

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 68-55 this season after they won game one by a score of 11-9 on Friday. Seattle led 1-0 in the first, but they trailed 6-4 in the fourth, before scoring the next seven runs to pull away for the win. The Mariners recorded 16 hits in the game and they were led by Young, who went 3-4 with three RBIs in the win. Seattle started Castillo, who allowed nine hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Ferguson picked up the win and Munoz got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Orioles, but did sweep the Rays in three games before that. Seattle has won nine of their last eleven games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 565 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 46 home runs and 100 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added 24 home runs and 69 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 10-6 with a 3.08 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 146.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Mariners

• The underdogs have won seven of the Mets’ last eight games at Citi Field.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in six of their last seven road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games at Citi Field against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games as home underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last nine day games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 15 of the Mariners’ last 17 day games against National League opponents.

Mets vs Mariners Prediction 

New York blew another lead in game one of this series on Friday, which has been a theme during this losing streak. The Mets are 39-24 at home this year, while the Mariners are 31-30 on the road. Seattle bounced back from that disappointing series in Baltimore with a great offensive showing and they are starting Woo, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. New York is going with McLean, who has been very good in the minors this year. I am interested to see if McLean can help this struggling pitching staff, but I do think he will provide a boost to the whole team. Take the Mets here.