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Mets vs Mariners Prediction 8/17/25 MLB Picks Today

Seattle Mariners (68-56) vs. NY Mets (65-58)
August 17, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets 104 / Seattle Mariners -126; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action at BB&T Ballpark at Historic Bowman Field. Here’s a Mets vs Mariners Prediction. This article will include a Mets vs Mariners Pick.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 68-56 on the year and play the Phillies, Athletics, and Padres next. The Seattle Mariners are batting .243 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .410 slugging percentage. The Seattle Mariners pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 131 hits and 69 RBI, while JP Crawford and Cal Raleigh have combined for 230 hits and 144 RBI.

George Kirby gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 8-5 with a 3.71 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Kirby is 0-1 with a 5.14 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 65-58 on the year and play the Nationals, Braves, and Phillies next. The New York Mets are batting .242 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .414 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 125 hits and 70 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 237 hits and 167 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 9-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the Mariners’ last four games.
  • The Mariners have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Mariners’ last five games.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The Mets have lost each of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Mariners have won each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mariners have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against the Mets.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Starling Marte has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Mariners.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games.
  • Juan Soto ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (30) this season.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
  • Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • George Kirby has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (46) this season.

Mets vs Mariners Prediction

The Mets haven’t won back-to-back games since July 27, so one win yesterday doesn’t move the needle. The Mets have had a horrible few weeks. Holmes is having a fine season, but he’s allowed nine hits and seven runs in his last 8.2 innings. Kirby has allowed 11 hits and two runs in his last 19 innings, and he has a 1.07 WHIP on the season. I have to side with the Mariners given the pitcher in better form and the Mets racking up the losses over the last month.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Seattle Mariners -126

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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