Mets vs Marlins Prediction 5/29/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 29th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 23-33 this year after they lost two out of three against the Reds by scores of 2-7, 2-7, and 4-2. In game three, New York had their lead cut to 3-2 in the sixth inning, but they added one more run in the seventh to seal the win. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Benge, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Tong allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 3.2 innings for the win, while Williams picked up the save. Prior to that series, New York lost all three against the Marlins and split four games with the Nationals. 

This season, New York has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 214 runs with a .226 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 12 home runs and 24 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 3-4 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 61.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 26-31 this season after they lost two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 8-2, 1-8, and 1-2. In game three, Miami led 1-0 in the first inning, but they went scoreless over the last eight innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Lopez, who went 4-4 with one RBI. Perez allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Nardi picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Mets in three games, but lost three out of four against the Braves before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 241 runs with a .245 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 11 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 5-0 with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 60.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The home team has won each of the last four games between the Marlins and Mets.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven Friday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Marlins following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Marlins and Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last five night games.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in five of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded a hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (75) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.350).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (70).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (68).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (11).

Mets vs Marlins Prediction 

New York snapped their losing streak with a win on Wednesday, but they have really struggled over the last two weeks. The Mets are 12-15 at home this year, while the Marlins are 8-16 on the road. Miami has won four of their last six games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Marlins are starting Meyer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Peralta has allowed seven earned runs and 10 hits in his last two outings. Take the Marlins here.