Mets vs Marlins Prediction 5/31/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 31st at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 25-33 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 9-7 and 6-1. In game two, New York had their lead cut to 3-1 in the fifth inning, but they added three more runs to seal the win. The Mets recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Vientos, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Scott allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Perez picked up a hold. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Reds and all three against the Marlins. 

This season, New York has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 229 runs with a .228 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Juan Soto has led the Mets with 12 home runs and 25 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added five home runs and 27 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 2-4 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 61.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 26-33 this season after they lost game two by a score of 6-1 on Saturday afternoon. Miami scored one run in the fifth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense for the loss. The Marlins recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hicks, who went 3-4 with one RBI. Phillips allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bachar allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win all three against the Mets before that. 

This season, Miami has a 4.27 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 249 runs with a .245 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 11 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 3-5 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The home team has won each of the last six games between the Marlins and Mets.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Marlins and Mets.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight Sunday games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 Sunday day games at Citi Field.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against the Mets at Citi Field.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mets’ last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Marlins’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 14 day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Janson Junk’s last four appearances as a starter.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• MJ Melendez has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Owen Caissie has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents.

Mets vs Marlins Prediction

New York has won the first two games in this series and they have won three games in a row overall. The Mets are 14-15 at home this year, while the Marlins are 8-18 on the road. Miami has lost four in a row and they have scored one run in three of those four losses. The Marlins are starting Junk, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while McLean has allowed 13 earned runs and 13 hits in his last 9.0 innings of work. Take the over here.