
Mets vs Nationals Prediction 6/10/25 MLB Picks Today
Washington Nationals (30-35) vs. NY Mets (42-24)
June 10, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -162 / Washington Nationals +133; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mets vs Nationals Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will send out MacKenzie Gore for the start here, and he is 3-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 108 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Gore is 0-3 with a 5.32 ERA and 19 strikeouts. Griffin Canning will get the start for the Mets here and is 6-2 with a 2.90 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. In his career, Canning is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA and 9 strikeouts against the Nationals.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals will be looking to rebound from a 4-2 loss at the hands of the Texas Rangers last time out to sit at 30-35 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Nationals Drop Back-To-Back Games
Keibert Ruiz has 53 hits with 10 doubles and a pair of home runs with 22 RBIs, while James Wood has 66 hits with 16 doubles and a team-high 16 home runs, along with 45 RBIs and 9 stolen bases while also putting up 78 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 57 hits with 11 doubles and 40 RBIs, along with 8 home runs and 72 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 8 home runs and 20 RBIs along with 12 doubles and 11 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 14 doubles and 7 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Nationals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances.
- CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last six road games against NL opponents.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Luis Garcia has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- MacKenzie Gore ranks 2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (108) this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their 13-5 win over the Colorado Rockies last time out to sit at 42-24 on the year. After this series, the Mets will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in an interleague series at home.
Mets Pull Off Another Sweep Vs. Rockies
Pete Alonso has 75 hits with 20 doubles, 17 home runs, 61 RBIs, and a .301 batting average, while Juan Soto has 57 hits with 12 doubles, 11 home runs, and 31 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 73 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 11 doubles, 14 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 53 hits with 12 doubles and 10 home runs, and 34 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have won each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against the Mets following a loss.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Griffin Canning has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in each of the Mets’ last three home games against the Nationals.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Single in 11 of his last 12 appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Jose Siri has hit at least one home run in each of his three previous appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Tyrone Taylor has scored a run in each of his last seven appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.
- Pete Alonso ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.594) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Nationals’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
I’m on the Mets here. I get that the Nationals have been a team that’s been able to provide value for much of the season. However, the Mets are rolling along right now, and while a lot of their recent wins came against the Colorado Rockies, they have momentum and take on a pitcher in Gore they’ve had success against in the past. Gore historically has struggled on the road. I’ll roll with the Mets at home in this one.