Mets vs Nationals Prediction 8/14/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 14th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 53-69 this season after they lost two out of three against the Braves by scores of 8-5, 0-4, and 3-6. In game three, New York cut the deficit to 3-2 in the seventh inning, but allowed the next three runs to seal the loss. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Bichette, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Thornton allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Nunez allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Pirates and all three against the Guardians. 

This season, New York has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 510 runs with a .235 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 12 home runs and 61 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Robert Stock, who is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA and a 2.13 WHIP over 8.0 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 60-63 this year after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 6-8, 12-6, and 7-0. In game three, Washington scored five runs in the fifth inning to pull away with the win. The Nationals recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Ortiz, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Cavalli allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Beeter pitched the ninth. Prior to that series, Washington swept the Reds in three games, but lost three out of four against the Phillies before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.72 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .258 opponent batting average, while they have scored 662 runs with a .252 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 29 home runs and 91 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Andrew Alvarez, who is 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 69.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last six night games at Citi Field following a home win.
• The Mets have won nine of their last 10 home games against the Nationals following a road loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games.
• The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last five Friday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Nationals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Mets.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Mets.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last five night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last six night games against NL East opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last five night games between the Nationals and Mets at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Abimelec Ortiz has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four games.
• Andrew Alvarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Nationals as road underdogs.
• Daylen Lile has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (152).
• The Mets rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (662).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (177).

Mets vs Nationals Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup after a series loss, but they have played much better over the last few weeks. The Mets are 25-34 at home this year, while the Nationals are 33-27 on the road. Washington has won three of their last five games and they have scored 6+ runs in five straight. The Nationals are starting Alvarez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings, while Stock allowed eight earned runs in 3.0 innings last time out. Take the Nationals to win here.