Mets vs Nationals Prediction 9/19/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 19th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 79-74 this season after they won two out of three against San Diego by scores of 8-3, 4-7, and 6-1. In their game three win, New York was tied at one in the third inning, but scored the last five runs to get away with the victory. The Mets recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Nimmo, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. New York started Tong, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Diaz closed the game out. 

Prior to that series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Rangers and all four against the Phillies. New York has won three of their last four games and they are second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 722 runs with a .249 batting average and a .327 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 37 home runs and 121 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 41 home runs and 100 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Brandon Sproat, who is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 62-91 this year after they lost all four games against Atlanta by scores of 3-11, 3-6, 0-5, and 4-9. In their game four loss, Washington led 3-0 in the fifth inning, but their pitching staff fell apart in the middle innings for the blowout loss. The Nationals recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Wood, Crews, Hassell III, and House, who all had one RBI in the loss. Washington started Lord, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Beeter picked up the loss in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Pirates and split four games with the Marlins. Washington has lost seven of their last nine games and they are last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 647 runs with a .243 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Andrew Alvarez, who is 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over 15.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Nationals

• The Mets have won each of their last 10 home games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last eight games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Nationals at Citi Field following a home win.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Nationals will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won 16 of the Mets’ last 22 games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven home games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as home favorites against the Nationals.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 17 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last four games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Paul DeJong has recorded a hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

Mets vs Nationals Prediction 

New York is finally starting to gain some momentum, as they won two out of three against San Diego, but they are still battling for a wild card spot in the NL. The Mets are 48-30 at home this year, while the Nationals are 31-44 on the road. Washington has allowed 31 runs in their last four games, but they are starting Alvarez, who has allowed a total of two earned runs over 15.2 innings this year. The Mets are starting Sproat, who has allowed three earned runs over 12.0 innings. We have a great pitching matchup between two young arms and I think runs are going to be hard to find. Take the under here.