Mets vs Padres Prediction 8/17/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 17th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 56-69 this season after they won all three against the Nationals by scores of 4-1, 5-4, and 4-3. In game three, New York trailed 2-0 in the third inning, but they scored the next four runs and hung on for the win. The Mets recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Torrens, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Scott allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win, while Senga picked up the save. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, New York has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 523 runs with a .236 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 12 home runs and 62 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 8-8 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 67-58 this year after they won two out of three against the Guardians by scores of 7-5, 1-6, and 5-0. In game three, San Diego scored two runs in the second inning and never looked back in the shutout win. The Padres recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Rengifo, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Mize allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Estrada picked up a hold. Prior to that series, San Diego swept the Brewers in three games and won two out of three against the Astros. 

This season, San Diego has a 4.08 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 535 runs with a .238 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 23 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 16 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Walker Buehler, who is 7-5 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 114.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Padres have lost each of their last seven road games against the Mets following a win.
• The home team has won each of the Mets’ last five games.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets following a road win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against the Padres.
• The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Citi Field.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Padres have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Mets have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Padres’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Padres’ last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against NL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games against the Padres.
• Nolan McLean has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his eight previous home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL opponents.
• Nolan McLean ranks 10th in the league for total Strikeouts (159) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Freddy Fermin has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
• Walker Buehler has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Padres as underdogs.
• Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 8th in the league in Hits (134) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (157).
• The Mets rank 27th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.307).
• The Padres rank 4th in the league for steals this season (124).
• The Padres rank 25th in the league for hits this season (979).

Mets vs Padres Prediction 

San Diego comes into this matchup as one of the hottest teams in the NL and they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last five games. The Padres are 30-32 on the road this year, while the Mets are 28-34 at home. New York has won three in a row and they continue to play well over the last few weeks. The Mets are starting McLean, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Buehler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the under here.